Calorado: state predictions

[Mau_Mau]

So we know ige has the mile and the 3200 locked away, who will be there for sloppy seconds? and who will run the 800. lets hear predicions

[VoidSix]

I think Ige is 4A this year, so I don't think he'll be a factor in 5A.

It's hard to bet against Stephen Weeks. I'm pretty certain he'll win the 3200, but whether or not he can stop Noah Shannon in the 1600 is a tough call. Either way, he's so smooth and so accomplished that I think Weeks will take it.

Ige sweeps everything in 4A, 800-3200. I know Sterling's Tyler Rassmussen ran a 4:18.6 last year, but he hasn't really matched that race since so I doubt he'll be a factor for winning. He could get second for the second year in a row, however. Filemon Loa and Jesse Fassler should be factors in the 800, along with Greeley's West's Dan Larson.

[mayfly]

Weeks so smooth and accomplished? Last time I checked Shannon was a FL finalist and a sub 9 3200 guy...I'd call that accomplished. Tough to call? I'd say the only tough call is whether or not Weeks can even be in the race with 300 to go. I don't know if Shannon is running the 3200, if not, Weeks probably has it. I just don't see Weeks being within any sort of striking distance with 600 to go in a 3200 against Shannon or with 400 to go in a 1600. Any confirmation on Ige being 4A, Brad? He'll be tough to beat, regardless. Any idea on what he's going to run at state?

[RockyRegion]

Whoa, Noah Shannon is as much a legitimate threat to Ige as anyone. Nothing will be easy for Ige. Shannon will make him work for every second. Also, with the speed of Shannon over 3200 meters Ige may opt to run only the 800m and 1600m at the state meet.

...is Shannon in 4A or 5A...are they in the same division? If not then Ige triples.

[watchout]

Shannon is 5A, he will go up against Weeks.

Ige has 4A all to himself. :)

[VoidSix]

Weeks so smooth and accomplished? Last time I checked Shannon was a FL finalist and a sub 9 3200 guy...I'd call that accomplished. Tough to call? I'd say the only tough call is whether or not Weeks can even be in the race with 300 to go. I don't know if Shannon is running the 3200, if not, Weeks probably has it. I just don't see Weeks being within any sort of striking distance with 600 to go in a 3200 against Shannon or with 400 to go in a 1600. Any confirmation on Ige being 4A, Brad? He'll be tough to beat, regardless. Any idea on what he's going to run at state?

I would call a JUNIOR 2-time state champion who has placed in the top 5 of the 3200 since his freshman year, runner-up to Ahmed last year, as "pretty accomplished". And if you've ever watched him run, you'd agree that his form is very smooth. Now Noah is probably more accomplished, considering his Sub-9 and FL placing, but his form isn't nearly has nice as Weeks', not to mention that I don't think Weeks has ever lost to Shannon head-to-head (correct me if I'm wrong, because all I know are 2004-2005 state XC and 2004-2006 track) except for his freshman year in XC, where he placed 67th or so and Shannon was 62nd.

And considering Weeks ran a 9:33 AFTER a 4:23 at altitude, I'm pretty sure that he would at least be very close, if not under 9 minutes for a 3200 at sea-level. Just yesterday Shannon completed a 9:30, 4:26 double at altitude. So they are pretty comparable. I'll take the guy that rarely loses!

[run_4_fun]

I though Ige was 5A? Denver South is 4A in cross country, but last year they were 5A in track and I didn't think that had changed, though I could be wrong. Shannon is definately 5A. Does anyone know for absolute certain what division Denver South is?

Although Weeks might not have lost to Shannon head to head, that doesn't always mean anything. I've never lost to Weeks head to head, but that doesn't mean I would necessarily beat him him if we raced right now. I'd still put my money on Weeks over Shannon because he always does a good job of peaking right at State, although Shannon is running really well.

I think that if Ige runs well he will not lose unless he chooses to double the 800 and 3200, because he is a very strong runner. Not only can he run fast, he can change gears in the middle of a race very quickly. One second your right behind him, 30 seconds later you're 15 seconds behind him. It's crazy.

btw Mountain View for the 4A team title just like cross!!!

[VoidSix]

I though Ige was 5A? Denver South is 4A in cross country, but last year they were 5A in track and I didn't think that had changed, though I could be wrong. Shannon is definately 5A. Does anyone know for absolute certain what division Denver South is?

I think that if Ige runs well he will not lose unless he chooses to double the 800 and 3200, because he is a very strong runner. Not only can he run fast, he can change gears in the middle of a race very quickly. One second your right behind him, 30 seconds later you're 15 seconds behind him. It's crazy.

btw Mountain View for the 4A team title just like cross!!!

Well on www.chsaa.org, if you look at the 4A prequalifiers, Ige is listed. So I'm assuming the website isn't incorrect. But it could be. Otherwise, he's 4A. Which is kind of a shame, really, as he will probably be able to triple and win everything, making for a less dynamic state meet. If he was 5A, at least Shannon and Weeks would be in the mix.

Mountain View may win, as they have good sprinters to go along with their good cross country runners (I'm assuming you're T. Walton, as you posted that you've never lost to Weeks?). They even seem pretty tough in the hurdles with Ben Yeh (I think that's right) from what I saw at the St. Vrain Invite. Great 4x1, 2, and 4. Should do well. I wouldn't count out teams like Mullen though.


I thought I'd bring up one last point about Weeks. Anyone who saw him race at Mullen in the 3200 can't doubt him. Medina was probably 30m up on him going into the final 250 meters of the race, and Weeks was able to kick him down and gain 4 seconds on the guy (Medina is no slouch--they both beat Shannon in XC) in the final stretch. He basically made up 60m on Medina in the final lap.

[VoidSix]

Well I was just talking distance, but JT Schuerman is obviously studly.

Niwot's Griffin Matthew is the best female athlete in the state, most definitely, as she can go 11.7 100m, 24.5 (or faster?) 200m, and over 20 feet in the LJ.

[Brad]

Ige is 5A.

[Mau_Mau]

Ige is 5A.
do u think he will break 9 this year? i certainly hope so. im sure he could had he focused just on the 3200

[Brad]

Yes, Mo can break 9:00. At KU he was running really relaxed the whole way in the 3200. He knew he had two other races ahead of him. He ran 3:05 at a relay meet in the DM 1200 without kicking(61/62/62) he was just trying to run smooth and efficient. This past Monday his workout was 6 x 500 2 min. rest each and mo ran them all in 1:13/1:14. This past Wednesday he did 8 x 200 3min rest each in 24/25. FYI, on interval day's Mo will run a 2mile warm-up and a two mile warm down with 4/5 50/60 meter pick-ups on the up-front and back-end of his workouts. On the other days he will run 50/60 minutes steady with one day off per week. Come the Golden West and Outdoor Nationals He will be running fast.

[VoidSix]

Ige vs. Shannon vs. Weeks has potential to be very good. Particularly since Ige will probably run the 800m before the 3200m at the state meet. After an 800, I'd take Weeks or Shannon for the win. Even moreso because Ige is probably peaking for nationals, whereas Weeks probably isn't.

[Brad]

I totaly agree with you. If Mo where to just race the 3200 and he wins, well everyone kind of say's "big deal, he should win". Though if he races and wins the 800 and wins the 3200 after. That would be pretty impressive. Keep a lookout for Chris Sweeny out of Thunder Ridge in the 800 and 1600. He has jets and a big heart.

[VoidSix]

Is Ige ever going to go for a fast time? It seems we've just seen him run to win so far this track season.

[run_4_fun]

Is Ige ever going to go for a fast time? It seems we've just seen him run to win so far this track season.

He's a good team runner. He does whatever he needs to do to get the most points for his team. If he goes for time it will probably be after state at Golden West or NON or one of those types of meets, although if he ends up in a race with some other good guys like shannon and weeks he could run to win and still get a great time.

[runnigelrun]

Does anyone have a chance of beating Victor Montoya in the 32 and 16 in 2A? The kid is only a freshman and he appears not to have a clue about how good he really is. I will take Peyton in the 3200 relay and Travis Stanford in the open 800.

[VoidSix]

Does anyone have a chance of beating Victor Montoya in the 32 and 16 in 2A? The kid is only a freshman and he appears not to have a clue about how good he really is. I will take Peyton in the 3200 relay and Travis Stanford in the open 800.

Well, considering he doesn't even have the top times in 2A, yeah. Lyons' Andrew Roberts (also a freshman) has ran 4:37.28 & 10:19.

I think under the conditions, its safe to say 2A is a joke.

[byga]

lol. 2A does seem to be a joke.
How about that 9:17 2 mile Ige dropped (Medina 9:24), and Shannon 4:18 (alone?)

[VoidSix]

Pretty awesome by all. I wonder if Ige will try to take down Vaughn's 3200m record? I don't think he necessarily can run 9:06, but he can probably get close.

Medina is only a junior! Imagine next year between Weeks and Medina.



Still, I think 4A is a little deeper at 1600 this year. I mean they have one guy that has gone under 4:20, along with a plethora of guys between 4:20-25, and about 20 under 4:36! Should be a crowded state meet.

Edit: Although he hasn't gone under 4:20 for over a year. (4:18.66 by Tyler Rasmussen of Sterling last season at the conference meet)

[run_4_fun]

Does anyone know what happend with Ige?

[runnerdude2197]

^^^^^^ i was thinking the exact same thing.

[Limitless]

Well his 4:21 was probably due to the 1:52 800 he ran in the 4x800 the morning before.

Unsure about that open 800. He looked terrible.

[runnigelrun]

Not that that I usually rub it in or anything but I did pick it perfectly in 2A. Peyton's 4x8 hauled and Stanford almost beat Montoya in the 1600. The 3200 was a bit of a bust but the entire field went out too hard.

[WhatUpWest!]

they really let ige have it in the 800 but that was pretty impressive watching him run that 1:53 in the 4x800. he was hunting people down the whole way and coming back and running a 4:21 mile 2 hours after running a 1:53 is pretty studly in my book