State Predictions

[Equinox2100]

is state tomorrow?

[LogansRun]

Originally Posted by Equinox2100

is state tomorrow?

Only if today was Friday

[Awkward_Paul]

Originally Posted by OlySoph66

if other teams would like to join us, Olympia High School will be racing our two alternate runners Friday at about 5 pm on the State Course.
i know some people will disagree with racing alternates the day before the race but it's my coach's choice not mine

Awesome. My friend might run it too, but if runs earlier maybe i'll run again. [If] I go I'll look out for ....what?

[CrossTrack]

Originally Posted by OlySoph66

if other teams would like to join us, Olympia High School will be racing our two alternate runners Friday at about 5 pm on the State Course.
i know some people will disagree with racing alternates the day before the race but it's my coach's choice not mine

Yep, I fundamentally disagree with racing alternates on the course the day before the meet...why? because you may need to use them on Saturday!

And a 5pm start today? Sunset is at 4:34pm....and if it's cloudy, it'll get dark quick....

[Equinox2100]

Originally Posted by CrossTrack

Yep, I fundamentally disagree with racing alternates on the course the day before the meet...why? because you may need to use them on Saturday!

And a 5pm start today? Sunset is at 4:34pm....and if it's cloudy, it'll get dark quick....

Incentive. Don't go slow or YOU WONT SEE.

[rnlkAsvg]

meh, might as well.

4A boys:
1. Jackson
2. Ferris
3. Issaquah
4. Lewis & Clark
5. Gig Harbor
6. Redmond
7. Auburn Riverside
8. Eisenhower
9. Kimiakan
10. Bellermaine Prep

3A boys.
1. North Central
2. Penninsula
3. Blanchet
4. Bellevue
5. Seattle Prep
6. Everett
7. Mt. Spokane
8. Shorecrest
9. Lindberg
10. Mercer Island

EDIT: outside of the top 2 (4A) and 1 (3A) this may be one of the closest scoring years to date. seems like WA has a very deep field.

[watchout]

Originally Posted by rnlkAsvg

meh, might as well.

4A boys:
1. Jackson
2. Ferris
3. Issaquah
4. Lewis & Clark
5. Gig Harbor
6. Redmond
7. Auburn Riverside
8. Eisenhower
9. Kimiakan
10. Bellermaine Prep

3A boys.
1. North Central
2. Penninsula
3. Blanchet
4. Bellevue
5. Seattle Prep
6. Everett
7. Mt. Spokane
8. Shorecrest
9. Lindberg
10. Mercer Island

EDIT: outside of the top 2 (4A) and 1 (3A) this may be one of the closest scoring years to date. seems like WA has a very deep field.

Yes indeed. On both sides, at the top, it isn't quite as good as '04, but it isn't far behind. And the depth is better this year than I can remember it being... (on both sides)

[Equinox2100]

4A is very strong up top, and deep.

3A has NC who will crush everyone. Then it's not very stong up top, but deep. We'll see an insane amount of runners under 17 IMO.

[watchout]

Before the race gets started, anyone want to venture predictions on how this years best teams will stack up to teams of the past (well, at least from 1988 forward, since '88 was the first year at Sun Willows)?

Borrowing from the Historical Perspective thread, and adding a little myself...

take note that, though this is not figured into the list, teams in '00, '05, '06, and '07 were run on a "slow" course, whether due to being too long or very bad weather... most other years are pretty close to the same, or as close as could be expected. "Fast" years were '88 and '90 @ 15 seconds faster than norm, and '91, '95, '98, and '08 @ 5 seconds faster than norm. The slow years already listed were 10-15 seconds slow.


Fastest all-time girls teams ... 3 mile times adjusted to 5k.

1. *1991 Joel Ferris - 18:35 average, 1:04 spread (17:59-18:21-18:37-18:57-19:03)
2. *1990 Rogers(Spokane) - 18:33 average, 2:01 spread (17:27-17:54-18:38-19:15-19:28)
3. *1995 Snohomish - 18:53 average, 1:24 spread (18:05-18:27-19:08-19:15-19:29)
4. *1990 Joel Ferris - 18:53 average, 1:29 spread (17:58-18:49-18:51-19:22-19:27)
5. *1995 Eisenhower - 18:57 average, 1:06 spread (18:25-18:41-18:51-19:19-19:31)
6. *1995 Joel Ferris - 18:57 average, 1:07 spread (18:30-18:34-19:01-19:04-19:37)
7. *1990 Eisenhower - 18:52 average, 1:42 spread (17:39-18:52-19:14-19:15-19:21)
8. 2003 Snohomish - 19:04 average, 0:18 spread (18:53-18:59-19:07-19:07-19:11)
9. *1988 Mead - 19:01 average, 1:04 spread (18:25-18:51-19:03-19:20-19:29)
10. *1994 Eisenhower - 19:02 average, 1:38 spread (18:15-18:36-19:08-19:20-19:53)
11. 2004 Bellarmine - 19:05 average, 2:35 spread (17:53-18:42-19:06-19:18-20:28)
12. *1991 University - 19:11 average, 2:02 spread (18:14-18:53-19:05-19:25-20:16)
13. *1994 Mead - 19:10 average, 1:08 spread (18:39-18:52-18:59-19:32-19:47)
14. 2004 Gig Harbor - 19:14 average, 1:42 spread (18:27-18:43-19:10-19:39-20:09)

3 mile teams -
1991 Joel Ferris - 18:02 average, 1:02 spread (17:26-17:47-18:03-18:22-18:28)
1990 Rogers(Spokane) - 17:59 average, 1:57 spread (16:55-17:21-18:04-18:40-18:52)
1995 Snohomish - 18:18 average, 1:21 spread (17:32-17:53-18:33-18:40-18:53)
1990 Joel Ferris - 18:19 average, 1:26 spread (17:25-18:14-18:16-18:46-18:51)
1995 Eisenhower - 18:23 average, 1:04 spread (17:51-18:07-18:16-18:43-18:55)
1995 Joel Ferris - 18:23 average, 1:05 spread (17:56-18:00-18:26-18:29-19:01)
1990 Eisenhower - 18:18 average, 1:39 spread (17:06-18:17-18:39-18:40-18:45)
1988 Mead - 18:27 average, 1:02 spread (17:51-18:16-18:28-18:44-18:53)
1994 Eisenhower - 18:28 average, 1:35 spread (17:41-18:02-18:33-18:44-19:16)
1991 University - 18:36 average, 1:59 spread (17:40-18:18-18:30-18:49-19:39)
1994 Mead - 18:35 average, 1:06 spread (18:05-18:17-18:24-18:56-19:11)



Fastest all-time boys teams

1. *1988 Mead - 15:25 average, 0:56 spread (14:56-15:18-15:23-15:33-15:52)
2. *1993 Mead - 15:25 average, 1:36 spread (14:37-15:14-15:16-15:42-16:13)
3. 2008 North Central - 15:36 average, 0:23 spread (15:25-15:30-15:39-15:40-15:47)
4. *1990 Mead - 15:39 average, 0:28 spread (15:24-15:29-15:40-15:48-15:52)
5. *1989 Mead - 15:39 average, 1:17 spread (14:57-15:22-15:27-16:11-16:14)
6. *1992 Mead - 15:40 average, 0:56 spread (15:08-15:40-15:41-15:47-16:04)
7. *1991 Mead - 15:44 average, 0:48 spread (15:17-15:30-15:42-16:03-16:05)
8. *1990 Edmonds-Woodway - 15:49 average, 0:47 spread (15:19-15:36-15:57-16:04-16:06)
9. *1996 Mead - 15:51 average, 0:42 spread (15:32-15:36-15:55-15:57-16:14)
10. 1998 University - 15:50 average, 0:54 spread (15:18-15:43-15:51-16:05-16:12)
11. *1994 Mead - 15:51 average, 0:53 spread (15:20-15:29-16:02-16:09-16:13)
12. 2004 Joel Ferris - 15:52 average, 0:22 spread (15:40-15:50-15:52-15:56-16:00)
13. *1995 Mead - 15:53 average, 0:43 spread (15:31-15:39-15:56-16:01-16:14)
14. *1995 Joel Ferris - 15:47 average, 1:14 spread (15:09-15:24-15:36-16:19-16:23)

3 mile teams -
1988 Mead - 14:56 average, 0:55 spread (14:28-14:50-14:55-15:04-15:23)
1993 Mead - 14:56 average, 1:33 spread (14:10-14:46-14:48-15:13-15:43)
1990 Mead - 15:10 average, 0:27 spread (14:56-15:00-15:11-15:19-15:23)
1992 Mead - 15:11 average, 0:54 spread (14:40-15:11-15:12-15:18-15:34)
1991 Mead - 15:15 average, 0:46 spread (14:49-15:01-15:13-15:33-15:35)
1990 Edmonds-Woodway - 15:20 average, 0:45 spread (14:51-15:07-15:28-15:34-15:36)
1996 Mead - 15:22 average, 0:41 spread (15:03-15:07-15:26-15:28-15:44)
1994 Mead - 15:22 average, 0:51 spread (14:52-15:00-15:32-15:39-15:43)
1995 Mead - 15:23 average, 0:42 spread (15:02-15:10-15:27-15:31-15:44)
1995 Joel Ferris - 15:18 average, 1:12 spread (14:41-14:56-15:07-15:49-15:53)
1989 Mead - 15:10 average, 1:15 spread (14:26-14:54-14:58-15:41-15:44)








I think that, on both sides, there will be 2-3 teams with good shots to make it on these lists this year.

[sjensen]

Looks like North Central made the list as 8th fastest all-time? Wow! Great race for them! Watchout - Where to you think that ranks them nationally? Do they have a chance to repeat?